Guest Explainer: Cooling the Gulf of Maine Surface Ocean Waters

Guest Explainer: Cooling the Gulf of Maine Surface Ocean Waters

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By Dr. Rob Moir, a nationally acknowledged and award-winning environmentalist

None of us are strangers to the experiences of the Gulf of Maine heating 97% quicker than the world’s oceans. However, the precise causes for this may be misplaced within the fixed headlines about international warming and rising greenhouse gases. To clarify this extraordinary phenomenon, let’s look carefully at 4 components: floor seawater temperatures, warmth severity, air temperature, and rainfall, month-to-month for 5 years.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) produces a month-to-month chart of sea floor water temperatures. Below is the newest chart for June 2024.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s June 2024 chart of floor water temperatures within the Gulf of Maine. Source: NOAA

The darkish blue waters have been 32 to 41 levels F.  The mild blue was 54 levels F. The inexperienced water in Massachusetts Bay was about 65 levels, and the yellow water south of Cape Cod was round 70 levels F.  Note that the floor water within the Gulf of Maine doesn’t have one temperature. Water temperatures throughout the ocean’s face cool from 65 levels by the shore to 54 levels within the Atlantic.

Monthly Changes, Long-Term Impact

These temperatures fluctuate by month throughout the 12 months. In the subsequent picture, from NOAA, the highest row reveals the ocean floor temperatures for April, marching again in time from 2024 to 2020. The maps of the Northeast present how a lot precipitation varies within the Gulf of Maine watershed. The largest river is the St. Johns, which drains the northern tip of Maine. April 2024 was the driest month, and April 2020 was the wettest. Daytime month-to-month common temperatures are introduced. The chart on the backside reveals the 30-year common of proper whale density for April. In the spring, we see slight variations in sea floor temperatures, a lot variation in rainfall, and little change in air temperatures. Right whales are rising, significantly in Cape Cod Bay and Nantucket Shoals.

April floor water temperatures from 2020 – 2024. Source: NOAA

May is once we start to see the floor temperature begin to heat.

Surface water temperatures throughout May, from 2020 to 2024. Source: NOAA

The lighter blue proven under signifies hotter floor waters (54 levels F). The 12 months 2024 reveals the warmest waters and probably the most precipitation. Some might imagine that rising air temperatures are warming the seas. However, I wish to draw your consideration to this map of inland warmth severity over the past 5 years under. This picture reveals a mix of air and land warmth averages. When yearly common temperatures are above regular or approaching harmful ranges, warmth is introduced in vibrant purple.

The severity of warmth has elevated dramatically since 2019, particularly from 2022 to 2023—sizzling temperatures peak in the summertime. As the temperature rises inland, the Gulf of Maine absorbs extra warmth.

Heat severity within the Gulf of Maine area from 2019 to 2023. Source: NOAA

By June every year, the Gulf of Maine’s floor temperatures by the shore have been hotter, reaching 65 levels F. This aligns with the warmth severity map. It’s not stunning that there’s a lot of warmth round Boston. Increased precipitation resulted in elevated floor water temperature.

2020 was the driest month and had the best floor water temperatures.

June water floor temperatures within the Gulf of Maine have risen steadily since 2020. Source: NOAA

In July, hotter floor water unfold additional throughout the Gulf of Maine. The black splotches symbolize a scarcity of information, seemingly because of fog and low cloud cowl.  2023 was a file precipitation 12 months, with probably the most rainfall since 1955. It can be the primary 12 months with orange (81 levels F).

July sees sizzling air temperatures, however this doesn’t heat floor water temperatures. In July 2019, the air temperature was 78 levels F, which was cooler than in 2023, when the temperature was 74 levels F.

Surface water temperature within the Gulf of Maine throughout July, 2019 to 2023. Source: NOAA

It’s within the later months of the 12 months that the proof of warming throughout summer season demonstrates the long-term affect on Gulf of Maine. October 2021 noticed a lot precipitation and heat sea floor temperatures and 2019 noticed a lot precipitation however not as nice an increase in water floor temperatures. The warmth severity map reveals that regardless that it rained quite a bit in 2019, water temperatures weren’t affected, as the warmth severity was considerably decrease in 2019. The temperature on the land across the Gulf was the deciding think about floor water temperature.

Surface water temperatures within the Gulf of Maine throughout October, 2019 – 2023. Source: NOAA

The heat waters of the Gulf Stream have been mapped on the decrease proper nook for some years and never others.  The Gulf Stream meanders to dissipate power because it flows northwards. How shut it involves the Gulf of Maine varies month-to-month.

In July, extra notable than in different months, elevated precipitation resulted in hotter floor waters. Land temperatures enhance with air temperatures. With elevated precipitation, extra water runs off the land. Heated land surfaces are an element throughout the summer season months. In October 2019, there was a number of rainfall and little change in floor water temperature. This was because of low land floor temperatures.

One Surprising Fix

New England’s seasons fluctuate considerably in rainfall and warmth severity. Increased air temperatures have led to excessive land temperatures. More rainfall, significantly on sizzling impervious surfaces, flows to unfold extra freshwater throughout the salty sea’s floor to heat 97% quicker than the world’s oceans.

To cool the Gulf of Maine, we solely want to cut back the quantity of water operating off the land. Slowing the move retains extra water to infiltrate into the land. Moist soils allow vegetation to develop and draw down extra carbon. By rising the quantity of inexperienced vegetation and restoring wholesome soils, the burden of carbon dioxide within the ambiance is lessened. The Gulf of Maine will not be heating quicker than 97% of the world’s oceans.

About the Author

Dr. Rob Moir is president and govt director of Cambridge, MA-based Ocean River Institute, a nonprofit that gives experience, companies, sources, and data unavailable on a localized degree to help the efforts of environmental organizations. Please go to www.oceanriver.org for extra data.